Avaliação Probabilística de Impacto de Acesso de Geradores Renováveis ao Sistema de Transmissão

Abstract

The increase in small-scale power generation plants presents challenges regarding their access to the transmission system, leading to queues and potential saturation issues in areas with renewable energy potential. This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to assessing the risks associated with the entry of new generators, especially wind sources. The use of probabilistic power flow through Monte Carlo simulation extends the capabilities of the deterministic method, providing a better representation of the inherent intermittency of variable renewable sources. Experiments on the IEEE RTS - 24 bus test system, considering the integration of renewable plants, demonstrate the importance of the probabilistic method in providing decision-makers with more accurate information.