Sistema de tomada de decisão no mercado de ações utilizando LGBM

  • Thiago R. S. Santos Departamento de Engenharia de Telecomunicações e Controle, Universidade de São Paulo, SP
  • Oswaldo L. V. Costa Departamento de Engenharia de Telecomunicações e Controle, Universidade de São Paulo, SP
Keywords: Machine Learning, LGBM, Trading System, Triple-Barrier Method, Technical Market Indicators, Investment Strategies

Abstract

This work focuses on the study of the application of a machine learning model known as LGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine) in classifying the best buying moments of an asset in the Brazilian stock market, which works as a trading system. As predictor variables, technical market indicators calculated from the historical price series are used. To define the best buying moment of the asset, the three-barrier method is applied. Additionally, this work presents a practical approach with the inclusion of Take Profit and Stop Loss limits. The results obtained from the proposed model were compared with the Moving Average Crossover (MAC) trading strategy.
Published
2023-10-18